Germany is putting in place plans and legislation to launch its green hydrogen economy. Sila Akat and Simon Göss at Energy Brainpool look at the laws and regulations, existing and expected soon, that are driving this game-changing ambition. They have also created five scenarios (two are explained in detail here) for production, based on those plans. The reference “Stated Policies” scenario predicts an increase of electrolyser capacity to 5 GW by 2030 and to 10.5 GW by 2040. The “Acceleration-cost-optimised” scenario, where solar and wind power supply rises steeply to enable a much faster expansion of the fleet of electrolysers, predicts that capacity reaches 107 GW in 2040, which is 10 times the reference capacity. That would equate to 271.3 TWh, or almost half of today’s gross electricity generation in Germany. The authors open with a summary of the EU’s own hydrogen targets, which boil down to the share of hydrogen in the EU energy mix reaching 13-14% by 2050. This is the second of two articles, where the first takes a high-level view of Germany’s hydrogen scene.
Energy Post 21st April 2021 read more »