The U.K.’s power sector will be operating on a negative-emissions basis by 2033 at the latest if the country sticks to its plan to reach net-zero emissions across the economy by 2050, according to system operator National Grid ESO. National Grid’s Future Energy Scenarios report lays out some of the real-world implications of the country’s history-making commitment to net zero. A year ago the U.K. became the first major economy to establish such a target; others have followed, including the EU bloc (minus Poland), Japan and New Zealand. If the U.K. stays on track, there will be 11 million electric vehicles on U.K. roads by 2030, more than there are globally today. Residential gas boilers will be a thing of the past, with 8 million heat pumps installed to replace them. The U.K. will need to connect at least 40 gigawatts of new wind and solar in the 2020s, and an average of 3 gigawatts of wind and 1.4 gigawatts of solar every year from now till 2050, far above its current pace. Unabated natural-gas use will be halved by 2038.
GTM 27th July 2020 read more »
This year’s Future Energy Scenarios (FES) have undergone a monumental reworking to bring them in line with the significant changes made across the energy industry over the past twelve months. National Grid ESO itself has said it’s made “some ground-breaking assumptions”, breaking down and re-configuring three of its scenarios so that they meet our legally-binding net zero by 2050 target. Gone are Consumer Evolution, Two Degrees and Community Renewables, having been eliminated by the shiny new kids on the block: Consumer Transition, System Transition and – perhaps most excitingly – Leading the Way scenarios, the latter of which finds a way to do just that, meeting net zero by 2048.
Current 28th July 2020 read more »
Scottish and Southern Electricity Networks (SSEN) has partnered Dundee City Council for its Regional Energy System Optimisation Planning (RESOP) project. The project will develop a whole system planning tool to help support Dundee’s net zero target of 2045 and its green economic recovery. The tool will be able to incorporate objectives and drivers for local authorities and businesses aiming to protect jobs and rebuild economic growth, with the ability to then assess the impact of these plans on the local electricity network. It will also be able to model the likely outcomes of future scenarios to help inform local decision making.
Current 28th July 2020 read more »
UK power distributor National Grid ESO has released a report forecasting changes to the UK energy sector before 2050. The report looks at how energy consumption might change from the point of view of both suppliers and consumers. It informs National Grid’s network planning and strategy for the next year and helps the energy distributor decide where to invest. Given the drastic changes in the world economy over the past year, the report has considered the effect of societal change for the first time. It says that “the energy supply system alone cannot deliver decarbonisation”, and looks at how the energy sector can adapt to follow and drive changing public attitudes. The UK has legislated to aim for nationwide net-zero carbon emissions by 2050. The report sets out two different scenarios of how the energy system could change to enable this. It also sets out a scenario for completing the transition as soon as viably possible, which it says would take until 2048. In all these scenarios, the energy system would be a net-negative contributor to carbon emissions by 2033.
Power Technology 28th July 2020 read more »